Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 15 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.2%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 21.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?”.
$1.93K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.94K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $10.4 bought Yes and $1.16K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 440 shares; the largest No position is Anon5566 with 547. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anon5566 | No | 546.61 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 440 |
| Fulgurator | No | 398 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by
| crossFiter |
| Yes |
| 144.41 |
| Fabulous-Bayou | Yes | 125 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 105.62 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42 |
| thoodr | No | 39.83 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 39.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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