Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 2.5 points from 7% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 121 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 6.5%.
$78.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.73K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 228 trades, $3.57K bought Yes and $13.64K bought No; the largest was a $3.66K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is infolitio with 8.1K shares; the largest No position is woshiLimpeh with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 90.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 121 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| infolitio | Yes | 8.13K |
| woshiLimpeh | No | 5.1K |
| Animalmother | Yes | 2.56K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michael-saylor-federally-charged-by-december-31-2026-20260625210239195
| Bet1nthedark |
| No |
| 2.3K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 1.47K |
| Talophex | No | 1.44K |
| Scratchy-Forebear | No | 1.07K |
| yielderwelderS | No | 1.05K |
| Rich-Try | No | 1K |
| Ciukas | Yes | 753.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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