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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.07K | $0.614 | $7.39K | -$1.25K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 175.49K | $0.240 | $42.12K | Jul 29, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 11.25K |
| $0.264 |
| $6.02K |
| +$3.05K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 10K | $0.260 | $1.35K | -$1.25K |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | No | 800 | $0.459 | $768.4 | +$401.4 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.13K | $0.080 | $609.67 | -$40.64 |
| buy |
| 290 |
| $0.600 |
| $174 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.600 | $642 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.608 | $15.91 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.17K | $0.620 | $2.58K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.640 | $1.01K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.100 | $27 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13K | $0.080 | $650.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.73K | $0.260 | $970.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.56K | $0.024 | $205.51 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.12K | $0.360 | $1.12K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7.73K | $0.041 | $316.85 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 135K | $0.240 | $32.4K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.044 | $50.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.73K | $0.210 | $3.72K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.53K | $0.170 | $3.66K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3K | $0.830 | $2.49K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 44.41K | $0.059 | $2.61K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.056 | $140.3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15K | $0.200 | $3K | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 290.99 | $0.025 | $7.27 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis | buy | 5K | $0.210 | $1.05K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.880 | $2.64K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia | buy | 63.7 | $0.500 | $31.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 17.85K | $0.290 | $5.17K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.41K | $0.862 | $2.08K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.240 | $480 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 321.76 | $0.179 | $57.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.360 | $139.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.142 | $4.26K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.121 | $151.82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 18.51K | $0.200 | $3.7K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.320 | $1.05K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.119 | $348.89 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 687.87 | $0.250 | $171.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 213.57K | $0.009 | $1.92K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 71.48K | $0.070 | $5K | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 10.02K | $0.009 | $90.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesToronto Blue Jays | buy | 1.38K | $0.697 | $958.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.5K | $0.998 | $33.43K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.140 | $112 | May 26, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.130 | $650 | May 26, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.110 | $187.33 | May 26, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.100 | $258 | May 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 757 | $0.100 | $75.7 | May 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 561 | $0.100 | $56.1 | May 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.84K | $0.900 | $1.66K | May 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66K | $0.910 | $1.51K | May 25, 2026 |