Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 333 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7.5% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $86.89K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 333 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 2.06K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 1.78K |
| SURO | Yes | 1.66K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between February 3 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| cptflyingpancake | Yes | 200 |
| wellazzz | Yes | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
