Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 18 points from 21% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 28 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.1%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.5% on 31 Jul 2026.
$1.58K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $104.33K since listing. The order book holds $87.95K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 498 trades, $3.63K bought Yes and $11.88K bought No; the largest was a $4.44K sell of No at 96.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Agyapro with 10.6K shares; the largest No position is Vietnam7 with 41.5K. Ten wallets hold 77.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 5.4% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025
| Neat-Stool |
| Yes |
| 6.26K |
| alfredoyunes | Yes | 5.95K |
| earthStones | Yes | 5.88K |
| gloriousmachina | Yes | 4.99K |
| DFK | No | 4.86K |
| AlexDuck | Yes | 3.5K |
| Newshound | Yes | 3.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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