Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 14 points from 16% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 14.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Lecornu out as French PM by...?”.
$205 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.79K since listing. The order book holds $10.77K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $8.03 bought Yes and $1.67K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 314 shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 925. Ten wallets hold 92.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 925 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 313.98 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 139.19 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 99.99 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 73.59 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 60 |
| lyx1991 | Yes | 50 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 45 |
| richyee | Yes | 35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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