Analytics
Yes is at 76%, up 17 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
Across the 60 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54.5%; a month before, 61.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 36% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Kraken IPO by ___ ?”.
$142.43 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.5K since listing. The order book holds $973.54, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 742 shares; the largest No position is SmartBoyBilly with 200. Ten wallets hold 89.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 59.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 76.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | Yes | 742.28 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 125.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025
| Golden Sphinx D3F2 |
| No |
| 117.55 |
| financegaaaydog | No | 68.8 |
| PPMT | No | 60 |
| Malganis | No | 48.29 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 36.4 |
| leadernew | No | 36 |
| foxy4 | No | 32.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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