Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 24% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 13.5% on 16 Jan 2026. $95.72K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 24.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 1.09K |
| MagicEightBall | Yes | 665.91 |
| danteme | Yes | 519 |
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kadyrov-out-as-head-of-the-chechen-republic-by
| Athletic-Sender | Yes | 376.92 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| ACara | Yes | 239.66 |
| Attentive-Rhyme | Yes | 233.26 |
| twobe3 | Yes | 209.94 |
| Talon2 | Yes | 169.17 |
| testsik | No | 112.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
