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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.760 | $143.25 | +$29.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.577 | $115.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 122 |
| $0.820 |
| $114.07 |
| +$14.03 |
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Yes | 220.27 | $0.279 | $3.85 | -$57.51 |
| sell |
| 799.97 |
| $0.080 |
| $64.04 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 220 | $0.430 | $94.6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 106 | $0.600 | $63.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?No | buy | 262 | $0.380 | $99.56 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 122 | $0.820 | $100.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 742 | $0.270 | $200.34 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.270 | $72.9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 120 | $0.830 | $99.6 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.035 | $10.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $71.99 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 296 | $0.620 | $183.52 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 445 | $0.450 | $200.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.580 | $55.68 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.430 | $100.19 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.460 | $101.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?No | buy | 16 | $0.630 | $10.08 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?No | buy | 17 | $0.590 | $10.03 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.430 | $2.52 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.17 | $0.173 | $55.22 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.834 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.908 | $21.62 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |