Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 May 2026 to 5 Jun 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 3 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 11% on 30 May 2026. $17.53K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 10:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 May 2026 – 5 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 47.5% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GTFKY | Yes | 1.63K |
| TinyMiny | Yes | 900 |
| Neat-Piece | Yes | 833.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by
| niglette | Yes | 685.74 |
| Impure-Contagion | Yes | 200 |
| TheOnePanda | Yes | 199.98 |
| Limonade-Rex | Yes | 166.67 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 141 |
| Quiet-Guestbook | Yes | 125 |
| ZenBear | Yes | 96.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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