Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?Yes | sell | 21.63 | $0.009 | $0.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.17 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.57 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.004 | $0.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 26.9 | $0.032 | $0.86 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.086 | $1.59 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.94 | $0.090 | $1.61 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes | sell | 44.3 | $0.016 | $0.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 87.45 | $0.020 | $1.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 18.55 | $0.147 | $2.73 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?No | sell | 38.88 | $0.055 | $2.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 13.18 | $0.230 | $3.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.012 | $2.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 26.01 | $0.120 | $3.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20.53 | $0.170 | $3.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?No | sell | 7.74 | $0.532 | $4.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes | sell | 54.63 | $0.021 | $1.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.72 | $0.184 | $3.63 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.33 | $0.026 | $1.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.047 | $2.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?No | sell | 10.53 | $0.510 | $5.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.110 | $4.89 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.190 | $5.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?Yes | sell | 34.74 | $0.119 | $4.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.192 | $5.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?No | sell | 11.28 | $0.640 | $7.22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 21.72 | $0.329 | $7.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | sell | 9.28 | $0.777 | $7.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.888 | $7.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.401 | $6.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 292.7 | $0.008 | $2.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | sell | 33.84 | $0.230 | $7.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.640 | $8.53 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.84 | $0.207 | $7.61 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 44.15 | $0.234 | $10.33 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 48.61 | $0.299 | $14.54 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 23.45 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 65.14 | $0.200 | $13.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.060 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.47 | $0.650 | $7.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 4.67 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.680 | $1.21 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.100 | $6.67 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.080 | $0.65 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 84.9 | $0.230 | $19.53 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.040 | $0.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 31.81 | $0.170 | $5.41 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?No | sell | 58.33 | $0.100 | $5.83 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Yes | sell | 41.17 | $0.017 | $0.7 | Jun 11, 2026 |