Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2026. $193.32K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eightpenguins | Yes | 26.4K |
| fantastic55 | Yes | 2.23K |
| troim | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 1.67K |
| BleatingWeasel | Yes | 1.67K |
| Newshound | Yes | 1.62K |
| KostyaDDD | Yes | 1.4K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| Bitman0101 | Yes | 600 |
| norealtime | Yes | 479.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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