Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.2K | $0.013 | $96.17 | +$16.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | 16d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.6K |
| $0.019 |
| $41.67 |
| +$11.67 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 267.86 | $0.056 | $35.49 | +$20.49 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.090 | $30.56 | -$19.44 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.130 | $27.5 | -$37.5 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.88K | $0.012 | $26.47 | -$43.52 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 85.71 | $0.350 | $23.57 | -$6.43 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 163.04 | $0.184 | $23.23 | -$6.77 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 106.38 | $0.094 | $19.95 | +$9.95 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.004 | $18.75 | +$8.75 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 311.82 | $0.064 | $14.34 | -$5.66 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 92.02 | $0.163 | $13.71 | -$1.29 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 214.29 | $0.070 | $12.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 212.77 | $0.047 | $7.55 | -$2.45 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.010 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 893.43 | $0.034 | $6.25 | -$23.75 |
 Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 283.96 | $0.035 | $1.42 | -$8.58 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 38.18 | $0.020 | $1.22 | +$0.46 |
| buy |
| 632.59 |
| $0.008 |
| $5 |
| 22d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 680.72 | $0.015 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.010 | $30 | 22d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.012 | $15 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 210.43 | $0.048 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.44 | $0.009 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 793.26 | $0.013 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.007 | $10 | 23d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.009 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.047 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | buy | 271.35 | $0.037 | $10 | 24d ago |
 Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 893.43 | $0.034 | $30 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | 24d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.005 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 306.37 | $0.016 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.011 | $11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 283.96 | $0.035 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 693.25 | $0.007 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 338.81 | $0.015 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | buy | 302.11 | $0.033 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | buy | 274.59 | $0.036 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 526.81 | $0.019 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes | buy | 772.49 | $0.019 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |