Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 3.2 points from 5% when the market opened on 5 May 2026.
Across the 166 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.8% on 8 May 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%; a month before, 2.5%.
$4.87K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.76M since listing. The order book holds $111.82K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $98.43 bought Yes and $25.06K bought No; the largest was a $29.74K sell of No at 98.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Transportlag with 91.6K shares; the largest No position is Clicker1 with 100K. Ten wallets hold 36.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 5 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 5.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Clicker1 | No | 100K |
| Transportlag | Yes | 91.58K |
| Calm-Breeze | Yes | 91.09K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026
| Bleak-Lava |
| No |
| 82.34K |
| Erasmus. | No | 74.14K |
| nelbal8486 | No | 70.28K |
| tradingdecs | Yes | 70.25K |
| Brokie | No | 65.32K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 49.67K |
| fledger | No | 49.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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