Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 24 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 8 Nov 2025.
The high was 54.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the low 3.8% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 6%; a month ago, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 50.5% on 9 Jan 2026.
$2.3K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $839.42K since listing. The order book holds $51.27K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.75K bought Yes and $10.55K bought No; the largest was a $2.49K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv with 50K shares; the largest No position is Detailed-Poison with 131.4K. Ten wallets hold 60.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 43 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 306 points · 8 Nov 2025 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 27.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Detailed-Poison | No | 131.45K |
| cbgjvfyg6ybgfvukgv | Yes | 50K |
| 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | No | 36.85K |
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-6-launch-postponed-again
| grapygroyp | Yes | 27.76K |
| TheEmprah | No | 26.65K |
| Composed-Creditor | Yes | 16.37K |
| vrainic | Yes | 10.16K |
| zthunderfury | No | 10.1K |
| grimlin | Yes | 8.08K |
| test123123123155523 | Yes | 7.92K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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