Analytics
Government shutdown by December 12?
politicsActive
Closes Dec 13, 2026 UTC
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Yes costs 40¢No costs 60¢
24h Volume
$2.3K
Total volume
$62.3K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Closes
Dec 13, 2026 UTC
Topic roomGovernment shutdown
Where it stands
Yes is at 40%, up 6.5 points from 33.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 41% on 8 Nov 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 41% on 8 Nov 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Government shutdown by...?”.
Across the latest 500 trades, $10.58K bought Yes and $14.56K bought No; the largest was a $3.2K buy of No at 69.7¢.
Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 13 Dec 2026, 29 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 40.0% |
Same event
Government shutdown by...?
- 1December 31$26.11K traded42.0%
- 2December 12This market$62.34K traded40.0%
Largest holders
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 13 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/government-shutdown-by
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Government shutdown
- The date in the last stopgap law, which sets the next deadline
- Whether 60 senators will vote to end debate on a funding bill
- Disputes attached to funding: spending levels, health subsidies, immigration enforcement