Analytics
Yes is at 74%, up 1 point from 73% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 74% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 71% on 28 Oct 2026.
1000+ is the favourite of the 46 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?”, ahead of 960-999 at 9.5%.
$2.07K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.52K since listing. The order book holds $6.88K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 145 trades, $4.3K bought Yes and $815.47 bought No.
The largest Yes position is lilith275 with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is ElonJail with 920. Ten wallets hold 94.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 66%–78%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lilith275 | Yes | 1.33K |
| ElonJail | No | 920.26 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 861.57 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2026
34 more outcomes, none above 0.5%.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly |
| No |
| 644.99 |
| Bitgod | Yes | 630 |
| mcsg | Yes | 380.42 |
| sange111 | Yes | 256.5 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 120 |
| Haradwaith | No | 99.99 |
| lissartter | No | 98.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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