Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, about where the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 30 Oct 2026.
800-839 ranks sixth of the 46 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?”. 1000+ leads at 74%; 960-999 is at 9.5%.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $173.26 since listing. The order book holds $3.45K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Bitgod with 620 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 862.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 861.57 |
| Bitgod | Yes | 620 |
| sange111 | Yes | 108.93 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2026
34 more outcomes, none above 0.5%.
| ghorrock |
| Yes |
| 53.81 |
| hetacz | Yes | 40 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| ElonJail | Yes | 10 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 2.74 |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 0.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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