Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 8.5 points from 13% when the market opened on 9 Apr 2026.
Across the 186 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 4.4% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 54% on 29 Apr 2026.
$6.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.63K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 106 trades, $208.26 bought Yes and $1.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 275 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 820. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 13.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| willsom | No | 819.6 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 274.7 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 226.73 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/doug-ford-out-as-pc-party-leader-by-december-31
| ansatz |
| No |
| 160.34 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 157.01 |
| moneymaker25 | Yes | 111.49 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 99.99 |
| pppnn | Yes | 91.83 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 77.28 |
| Urbanyithewise | Yes | 66.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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