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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.48K | $0.500 | $1.48K | +$741.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Intel say "Lab" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.110 | $0.61 | Jul 23, 2026 |
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| No |
| 999.99 |
| $0.585 |
| $704.99 |
| +$120 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 608 | $0.754 | $519.84 | +$61.11 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 479.99 | $0.815 | $415.19 | +$24.1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.840 | $397 | +$61 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 400.04 | $0.963 | $386.64 | +$1.4 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 399.98 | $0.880 | $381.98 | +$30 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.900 | $374 | +$14 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.920 | $374 | +$6 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 400.17 | $0.742 | $366.15 | +$69.23 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 400.16 | $0.878 | $362.15 | +$10.94 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.768 | $354 | +$46.66 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 400 | $0.825 | $350 | +$20 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 399.98 | $0.824 | $339.38 | +$9.9 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.768 | $332.6 | +$25.31 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.767 | $310 | +$3 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 323.32 | $0.599 | $295.84 | +$102.23 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 399.98 | $0.617 | $289.98 | +$43 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 319.8 | $0.805 | $289.42 | +$32.06 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.670 | $288 | +$20 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.817 | $280.5 | +$35.4 |
Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 300.46 | $0.909 | $278.98 | +$5.97 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.876 | $277.5 | +$14.7 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 420.65 | $0.700 | $275.52 | -$18.93 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.597 | $271.5 | +$92.5 |
| buy |
| 91.46 |
| $0.998 |
| $91.28 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 73.87 | $0.990 | $73.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.999 | $163.84 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 88.87 | $0.990 | $87.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 53.03 | $0.999 | $52.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 66.92 | $0.999 | $66.85 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 68.93 | $0.999 | $68.86 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.999 | $63.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.999 | $63.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.999 | $63.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.998 | $23.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 34.51 | $0.998 | $34.44 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Nordic," "Sweden," or "Swedish" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 22.26 | $0.988 | $22 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 31.99 | $0.998 | $31.93 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 49.42 | $0.998 | $49.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Time" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 51.04 | $0.998 | $50.94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.998 | $23.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 120.23 | $0.990 | $119.03 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 35.69 | $0.990 | $35.33 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 21.25 | $0.988 | $20.99 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes | buy | 254.38 | $0.149 | $37.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Intel say "Lab" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.120 | $3.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will American Express say "Expense" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.840 | $5.25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will American Express say "Commercial" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.840 | $5.25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 549.37 | $0.996 | $547.17 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | buy | 38.51 | $0.971 | $37.38 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 57.16 | $0.978 | $55.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Yes | buy | 46.96 | $0.998 | $46.87 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Yes | buy | 397 | $0.990 | $392.93 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 8.66 | $0.910 | $7.88 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 18.77 | $0.947 | $17.77 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.913 | $18.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.980 | $6.91 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.980 | $22.86 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 116.67 | $0.974 | $113.67 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.948 | $5.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |