Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 70% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 3 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 70% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 13% on 3 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 22.5% on 17 Jun 2026. $1.75K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 11:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 3 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 70.0% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MtnMark | Yes | 459.35 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 126.83 |
| firebat | Yes | 78.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/confirmed-us-screwworm-case-in-livestock-beyond-texas-byptptpt-20260609151855609
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 10 |
| 56sdfdsfs | Yes | 1.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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