Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 6 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 15% on 6 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 4% on 7 May 2025. $43.57K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 6 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dwukropekd | Yes | 505 |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes | 349.99 |
| Effjeezy | Yes | 267.26 |
| Joohn | No | 200.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government announces or enacts an official ban on all films produced in the United States between May 5 and June 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a ban will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the ban goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/china-bans-us-films-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PuzzlesCrypto | Yes | 200 |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 185.23 |
| NassTalRam | Yes | 161.54 |
| Mercedesarul | Yes | 109.77 |
| froggiemeow | Yes | 99.99 |
| KingTony | Yes | 84.52 |
