What is the “CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($79.48K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
$62.6K
Yes buy at 99.8%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 4, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 433 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Vultax loaded 43 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 83.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 5, 7:52 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
