Analytics
Yes is at 2.8%, down 1.5 points from 4.3% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.3% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 30 Oct 2026.
$3.64K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $45.06K since listing. The order book holds $27.27K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 182 trades, $1.22K bought Yes and $16.88K bought No; the largest was a $1.52K buy of No at 96.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Ivory Comet 1287 with 12.3K shares; the largest No position is Y5150 with 7K. Ten wallets hold 80.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Comet 1287 | Yes | 12.35K |
| Y5150 | No | 7.04K |
| Donny.T | No | 4.62K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the October 25 Brazilian presidential runoff election are annulled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The results of this election will be considered annulled if they are formally declared invalid by the Brazil Tribunal Superior Eleitoral or another official body of the government of Brazil with the legal jurisdiction to do so. If an official body of the government of Brazil with legal jurisdiction to rule on this matter has formally accepted a case seeking annulment of this election and no ruling has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) the public announcement of a ruling or (ii) June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the first qualifying ruling issued that annuls this election. Subsequent appeals or challenges will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the government of Brazil and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-annulled-by-december-31-20261026114556736
| QMG-CORE |
| No |
| 3.79K |
| DegenOnChainTest | Yes | 3.43K |
| estuprador | No | 2.55K |
| Ramdom2026 | Yes | 2.13K |
| Felipe7 | Yes | 1.8K |
| xcaiox | No | 1.53K |
| yen4u | No | 1.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
