Analytics
Yes is at 89.5%, up 7 points from 82.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 77% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 88% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?”.
$3.49K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.41K since listing. The order book holds $45.45K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $2K bought Yes and $286.91 bought No; the largest was a $1.76K buy of Yes at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Marioy with 2K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 92.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 89.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 2.4K |
| Marioy | Yes | 2K |
| apper | Yes | 488.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-30-2026
| ManakeMega |
| No |
| 441.98 |
| ssddssd | Yes | 400 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 313.86 |
| gobblewobble | No | 292.57 |
| SuperMister | No | 166.67 |
| coinman2 | Yes | 148.17 |
| PBot-10 | No | 145 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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