Analytics
Yes is at 99.4%, up 2.1 points from 97.3% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 97.3% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?”.
$554.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.09K since listing. The order book holds $48.2K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 9.4K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 7.1K.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 97.3% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 99.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 9.39K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 7.11K |
| gt197 | No | 1.95K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-30-2026
| ArtIronman |
| No |
| 441.75 |
| gratiscorp | No | 400 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 240.99 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 219.1 |
| Oleg777god | No | 125 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 52.03 |
| apper | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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