Analytics
Yes is at 99%, about where the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98.2% on 21 Oct 2026. The current quote, 99%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 98.9% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 27?”.
$7.11K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.2K since listing. The order book holds $37.72K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 11.1K shares; the largest No position is anna003 with 6.9K.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 98.2% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 98.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 11.05K |
| anna003 | No | 6.88K |
| gt197 | No | 2.84K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-27-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| No |
| 1.23K |
| suntori | No | 205.18 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 52.03 |
| apper | Yes | 45 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 15 |
| 196874353278 | No | 5 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
