Analytics
Yes is at 45.5%, down 16 points from 62% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 41% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 27?”.
$19.06 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $298.06 since listing. The order book holds $14.66K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 210 shares; the largest No position is PBot-10 with 160.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 62.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | Yes | 210 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 83.06 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-27-2026
| apper |
| Yes |
| 69 |
| ChocoFrenchFries99 | No | 50 |
| suntori | Yes | 19.06 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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