Analytics
Yes is at 89.3%, down 3.2 points from 92.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 89.3% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 27?”.
$127.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.9K since listing. The order book holds $28.95K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $2.9K bought Yes and $32.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 1.9K.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 92.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 89.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 2.74K |
| gt197 | No | 1.88K |
| justbotting | Yes | 1.02K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-27-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| No |
| 976.41 |
| 196874353278 | No | 612.52 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| Xavyc3 | No | 99 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 53.07 |
| mgb22 | No | 38.76 |
| rickyskinner | Yes | 23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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