Analytics
Yes is at 88.5%, down 4.5 points from 93% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026, the highest close was 93% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 87% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 87% on 28 Oct 2026.
$582.95 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.09K since listing. The order book holds $7.05K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $2.07K bought Yes and $242.27 bought No.
The largest Yes position is KimchiCapital with 836 shares; the largest No position is 0x49F206 with 1K. Ten wallets hold 90.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 93.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 88.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x49F206 | No | 1.03K |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 836.01 |
| yoyobb2018 | Yes | 522.95 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Anthropic to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no Anthropic IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the final prospectus for the IPO price and the primary exchange’s official listing page for the opening price. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-open-price-above-ipo-price
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 463.78 |
| stevensu777 | Yes | 358 |
| Haradwaith | No | 219.9 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 120 |
| .brain. | Yes | 115 |
| sasha585 | No | 106 |
| 42012 | Yes | 85.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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