What is the “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 11.0¢ and No at 89.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 11.0% for Yes and 89.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($13.67K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($432.8) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 60 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 69.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 27, 4:42 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-debt-downgrade-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referenceanother-us-debt-downgrade-before-2027Updated 2m ago

politicsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCpoliticseconomy

Yes

11.0%

89.0%

Buy Yes 11¢Buy No 89¢

24h Volume

$13.7K

Liquidity

$433

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

11¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

11.0%

89.0%

24h volume

$13.67K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 11¢

Open in terminal$13.67K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

3m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

6.0%

Observed

2m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

11.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

69%

Yes / No shares

2.17K / 2.17K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
whispercatalyst	sell	No	90.0%	5.49	Sep 22, 11:30 PM UTC
Pin1	sell	No

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

US Economy oddsWill the US enter a recession?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Another US debt downgrade before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 11.0¢ and No at 89.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 11.0% for Yes and 89.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($13.67K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($432.8) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

whispercatalyst

sell

90.0%

5.49

Sep 22, 11:30 PM UTC

Pin1

sell