Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? | Yes | 113.78 | $0.522 | $26.17 | -$33.21 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.040 | $0.76 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.230 |
| $6.75 |
| +$1 |
 Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election? | Yes | 19 | $0.390 | $6.56 | -$0.86 |
 Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? | Yes | 31 | $0.470 | $6.2 | -$8.37 |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 4.08 | $0.264 | $4.04 | +$2.96 |
 Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | Yes | 18.85 | $0.449 | $3.96 | -$4.51 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.760 | $3.7 | +$0.74 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.35 | $0.140 | $3.64 | +$1.21 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | Yes | 4 | $0.510 | $3.62 | +$1.58 |
 Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | Yes | 4.94 | $0.792 | $3.46 | -$0.45 |
 Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 29.47 | $0.220 | $3.39 | -$3.09 |
 Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 3.86 | $0.664 | $3.01 | +$0.45 |
 Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? | Yes | 18.75 | $0.116 | $2.7 | +$0.53 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.440 | $2.61 | +$0.77 |
 Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.310 | $2.45 | +$1.44 |
 Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.079 | $2.1 | -$1.85 |
 Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | Yes | 4.09 | $0.454 | $1.84 | -$0.02 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.360 | $1.61 | +$0.53 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? | Yes | 1.7 | $0.710 | $1.59 | +$0.38 |
 Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7 | $0.210 | $1.54 | +$0.07 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1.81 | $0.390 | $1.53 | +$0.82 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.449 | $1.49 | -$0.7 |
 Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Yes | 3.38 | $0.223 | $1.48 | +$0.73 |
 Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.340 | $1.4 | +$0.04 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3.46 | $0.410 | $1.35 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.65 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9.84 | $0.380 | $3.74 | 8d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 8d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | 11d ago |
 Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.340 | $11.9 | 11d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.300 | $4.2 | 12d ago |
 Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 12d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.550 | $8.25 | 12d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 15d ago |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | 16d ago |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.450 | $14.4 | 18d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.058 | $2.9 | 19d ago |
 Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.536 | $15.01 | 21d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 22d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 25d ago |
 Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.540 | $14.58 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a blaze?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $165 in August?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.430 | $14.62 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.470 | $14.57 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.640 | $5.76 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.330 | $2.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 4.64 | $0.895 | $4.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.320 | $8.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?Yes | sell | 20.01 | $0.742 | $14.85 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.35 | $0.420 | $1.83 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.360 | $14.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.600 | $3.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.956 | $21.03 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.1 | $0.360 | $7.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.320 | $6.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.410 | $6.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.560 | $1.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.660 | $17.82 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.350 | $16.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?Yes | sell | 30.48 | $0.190 | $5.79 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.530 | $14.31 | Jul 27, 2026 |