Analytics
Yes is at 2.4%, down 6.1 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 15 May 2026.
The high was 9.5% on 26 May 2026 and the low 1.7% on 10 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.4%; a month ago, 2.1%.
It is one of 2 markets under “AI data center in space by...?”.
$28.12K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $20.25K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 204 trades, $340.56 bought Yes and $11.4K bought No; the largest was a $2.35K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Nimble-Western-Purr with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 146 points · 15 May 2026 – 6 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 8.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 2.44K |
| Nimble-Western-Purr | Yes | 2.42K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 1.88K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ai-data-center-in-space-by
| AiBird | Yes | 1.43K |
| fledger | No | 1.38K |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 1.1K |
| Lunar Falcon B345 | Yes | 939.29 |
| Kbscrypt | Yes | 701.77 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 486.91 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 460.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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