Analytics
The Knafo side is at 18%, down 6.5 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
Across the 40 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close the Knafo side was at 20.5%; a month before, 30%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 33% on 26 Sep 2026.
$4.18K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $856.76, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $198.8 bought Knafo and $1.39K bought Zemmour.
The largest Knafo position is myth3948 with 746 shares; the largest Zemmour position is MoonShootBets with 513. Ten wallets hold 89.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 18 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:53 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Knafo price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Knafo price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 24.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| myth3948 | Knafo | 745.68 |
| MoonShootBets | Zemmour | 513.31 |
| Hot-Skull | Zemmour | 366.29 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-knafo-or-zemmour-for-reconquete
| TheMasterMind | Zemmour | 300 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Knafo | 200 |
| Lordofebola | Knafo | 178.61 |
| wxufao68 | Knafo | 107.31 |
| DeverNoom | Zemmour | 106 |
| cenovisseur | Zemmour | 77.81 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Knafo | 75.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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