Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 112.49 | $0.780 | $103.72 | +$15.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 38 |
| $0.780 |
| $37.94 |
| +$8.3 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 89 | $0.200 | $6.68 | -$11.13 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 2 | $0.690 | $1.99 | +$0.61 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 28 | $0.973 | $1.83 | -$25.41 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 8 | $0.310 | $0.03 | -$2.45 |
| sell |
| 181 |
| $0.640 |
| $115.84 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.640 | $17.92 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 14 | $0.660 | $9.24 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 129 | $0.660 | $85.14 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?No | sell | 58 | $0.962 | $55.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 259 | $0.950 | $246.05 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 330 | $0.950 | $313.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | sell | 236 | $0.327 | $77.17 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 17 | $0.580 | $9.86 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.150 | $3.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No | sell | 202 | $0.430 | $86.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 589 | $0.760 | $447.64 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.150 | $3.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 136 | $0.220 | $29.92 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 12.87 | $0.150 | $1.93 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 136 | $0.210 | $28.56 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | buy | 236 | $0.362 | $85.43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.620 | $24.18 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 258 | $0.250 | $64.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No | buy | 202 | $0.510 | $103.02 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 64.3 | $0.650 | $41.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 62 | $0.650 | $40.3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 51 | $0.650 | $33.15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 73.5 | $0.650 | $47.78 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 49 | $0.650 | $31.85 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 44 | $0.650 | $28.6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | sell | 33 | $0.650 | $21.45 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No | buy | 520 | $0.660 | $343.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 15 | $0.190 | $2.85 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 96 | $0.140 | $13.44 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 229 | $0.140 | $32.06 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 21.98 | $0.400 | $8.79 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 163 | $0.400 | $65.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 72.02 | $0.400 | $28.81 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | sell | 217 | $0.660 | $143.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | buy | 217 | $0.680 | $147.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.800 | $38.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 167 | $0.800 | $133.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 315 | $0.800 | $252 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?No | sell | 186 | $0.800 | $148.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?No | buy | 719 | $0.830 | $596.77 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 325 | $0.150 | $48.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.120 | $9.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 156 | $0.370 | $57.72 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 258 | $0.260 | $67.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |