Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.893 | $5.36 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.62 |
| $0.700 |
| $8.13 |
| Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.809 | $2.3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.941 | $5.65 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 5 | $0.911 | $4.56 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.734 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.860 | $3.03 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.240 | $0.24 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 126.59 | $0.041 | $5.19 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.967 | $5.19 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 293.46 | $0.026 | $7.63 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.999 | $5.18 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.703 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 30 at 5PM ET?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.970 | $2.17 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Tesla deliver 300000-325000 vehicles in Q2?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.994 | $5.23 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.680 | $8 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.981 | $10.43 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 30 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.998 | $5.25 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.280 | $1.97 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.994 | $5.05 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on June 23?Up | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |