Latest trade
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 1:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
HotteKarotte is down $244.07 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 1:22 PM UTC.
$11.5 median trade
Its latest 105 trades covered 47 markets; 71.4% were buys. They run from Nov 23, 2024 UTC to Sep 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.52 | $0.210 | $11.24 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 11:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 13:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
105 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 13:22 UTC
polymarket profile
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $273.15 and losing ones cost $347.01 across 45 settled positions. 57.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $159.6 on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $74.33 on “Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?” (No).
It first traded on 23 Nov 2024 and most recently on 12 Sep 2026. It has traded 51 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 73.24 |
| $0.460 |
| $33.69 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 21.09 | $0.550 | $11.6 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50.25 | $0.398 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 21.29 | $0.611 | $13 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.995 | $22.61 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 46.44 | $0.180 | $8.36 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.08 | $0.610 | $9.2 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 8.95 | $0.390 | $3.49 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.620 | $11.5 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 144.71 | $0.017 | $2.46 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.82 | $0.340 | $11.5 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.088 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.175 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 34.68 | $0.865 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 30 | $0.502 | $15.06 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 40 | $0.502 | $20.08 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 148.72 | $0.390 | $58 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | sell | 62.64 | $0.500 | $31.32 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | sell | 28 | $0.500 | $14 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 62.34 | $0.377 | $23.5 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.201 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.280 | $1.44 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike seven countries in March?No | buy | 31.65 | $0.790 | $25 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike seven countries in March?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.890 | $12.34 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike five countries in March?No | buy | 35.62 | $0.890 | $31.7 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?No | buy | 23.37 | $0.471 | $11 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 21.63 | $0.190 | $4.11 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 40.5 | $0.864 | $35 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.47 | $0.490 | $23.26 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.08 | $0.240 | $19.94 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.39 | $0.180 | $7.99 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.6 | $0.100 | $5.16 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.72 | $0.320 | $41.51 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.220 | $30 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.4 | $0.420 | $35.45 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.250 | $11.5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 121.38 | $0.029 | $3.5 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.954 | $15.26 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?No | buy | 17.94 | $0.490 | $8.79 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.