Latest trade
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
CapMachine is down $258.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:00 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Mar 13, 2026 UTC to Jul 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.028 | $0.82 | -$0.3 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.022 | $0.56 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 18:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 21:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 21:00 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 18:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $185.6 and losing ones cost $357.64 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $24.56 on “US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $118.46 on “U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Jul 2026. It has traded 147 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.93 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 21.43 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.11 |
| -$2.89 |
| sell |
| 58.13 |
| $0.095 |
| $5.52 |
| Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.730 | $9.13 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.367 | $9.18 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 58.13 | $0.052 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 25.92 | $0.039 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | buy | 55.95 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Yes | buy | 46.08 | $0.020 | $0.92 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?Yes | buy | 92.08 | $0.010 | $0.92 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?Yes | buy | 92.08 | $0.010 | $0.92 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?Yes | buy | 163.16 | $0.006 | $0.92 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?Yes | buy | 920.24 | $0.003 | $2.76 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.003 | $0.27 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.004 | $0.36 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.008 | $0.21 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.015 | $0.12 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.69 | $0.022 | $0.41 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.177 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.970 | $17.95 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.69 | $0.107 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.038 | $0.45 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.