Latest trade
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:34 PM UTC.
Analytics
Acclaimed-Cinder is down $22.48 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 13 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:34 PM UTC.
$3 median trade
Its latest 33 trades covered 18 markets; 60.6% were buys. They run from Jan 14, 2026 UTC to Jan 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.110 | $0.57 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
33 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:34 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.24 and losing ones cost $10.71 across 13 settled positions. 23.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.8 on “Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.56 on “Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Jan 2026. It has traded 18 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 13.63 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.23 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.200 | $1.67 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.210 | $2.44 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.350 | $2.57 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.45 | $0.152 | $2.8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.660 | $2.86 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.860 | $2.92 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.67 | $0.171 | $3.88 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.510 | $4.9 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.510 | $4.9 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.5 | $0.480 | $10.8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.961 | $3.56 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.400 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.68 | $0.132 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.45 | $0.271 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.005 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.310 | $1.6 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.