Latest trade
Oct 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
shadowrunner has made $12.53 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 2 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:26 PM UTC.
$48.55 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 4 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 8.31K | $0.947 | $8.17K | +$295.92 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.971 | $63.11 | 17d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-17 13:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:26 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-17 13:09 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $57.98 and losing ones cost $45.45 across 2 settled positions.
The largest win was $57.98 on “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $45.45 on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Oct 2026. It has traded 6 markets. Its open positions are worth $9.45K across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 513.79 |
| $0.936 |
| $497.09 |
| +$16.16 |
 Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | No | 497.97 | $0.948 | $487.76 | +$15.91 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.975 | $294 | +$1.52 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.971 |
| $194.2 |
| 17d ago |
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 121.8 | $0.979 | $119.24 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 28.77 | $0.983 | $28.28 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.985 | $65.67 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.984 | $49.2 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.986 | $49.3 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.989 | $39.56 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.981 | $49.05 | 23d ago |
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 237.53 | $0.978 | $232.38 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 27.11 | $0.977 | $26.49 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 67.89 | $0.977 | $66.33 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.977 | $107.47 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.977 | $58.62 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.977 | $29.31 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 90 | $0.977 | $87.93 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 46 | $0.977 | $44.94 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.975 | $292.48 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.965 | $28.95 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.976 | $48.82 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 294 | $0.974 | $286.36 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 49.58 | $0.972 | $48.19 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.972 | $58.32 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.972 | $48.6 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.972 | $48.6 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.972 | $19.43 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.971 | $16 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.972 | $19.43 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 49.17 | $0.966 | $47.5 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.966 | $77.28 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.964 | $41.45 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.964 | $38.56 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.964 | $48.2 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 101 | $0.962 | $97.16 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.962 | $48.1 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.962 | $76.96 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 175.99 | $0.960 | $168.95 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.