Latest trade
Sep 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:37 AM UTC.
Analytics
Grubby-Staircase is down $334.63 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:37 AM UTC.
$40 median trade
Its latest 31 trades covered 27 markets; 93.5% were buys. They run from Dec 4, 2025 UTC to Sep 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.320 | $57.81 | -$42.19 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-21 20:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
31 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:37 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-21 20:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $155.06 and losing ones cost $24.69 across 10 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $60.89 on “Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.5 on “Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Sep 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $151.4 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 526.32 |
| $0.380 |
| $34.21 |
| -$165.79 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.190 | $34.21 | -$65.79 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 758 | $0.198 | $20.09 | -$129.91 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $4.25 | -$45.75 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.360 | $0.83 | -$39.17 |
| buy |
| 758 |
| $0.198 |
| $150 |
| Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.34 | $0.580 | $41.38 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 727.79 | $0.275 | $200 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 643.03 | $0.290 | $186.48 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 643.03 | $0.311 | $200 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 451.61 | $0.299 | $135.02 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 451.61 | $0.310 | $140 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.680 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.360 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 100.89 | $0.396 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Wicked | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | buy | 456.89 | $0.004 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 38.84 | $0.515 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.450 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy in jail by December 31?Yes | buy | 293.53 | $0.010 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | buy | 539.52 | $0.037 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 82.19 | $0.730 | $60 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.050 | $40 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.