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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.46 | $0.959 | $0.45 | +$0.01 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.890 | $3.56 | Jun 26, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.19 |
| $0.210 |
| $0.16 |
| +$0.12 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.481 | $0.04 | -$0.11 |
| sell |
| 22 |
| $0.033 |
| $0.73 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.910 | $3.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.870 | $11.31 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.987 | $21.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.750 | $13.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.160 | $1.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.170 | $1.87 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.480 | $5.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.480 | $5.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.178 | $2.67 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.176 | $5.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.210 | $15.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 107 | $0.210 | $22.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.270 | $0.54 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.240 | $1.39 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.240 | $8.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.400 | $26.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.790 | $26.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.790 | $26.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.985 | $23.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.500 | $18 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 8 | $0.956 | $7.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.192 | $16.13 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.955 | $27.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.690 | $25.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.043 | $0.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 55.21 | $0.046 | $2.51 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.390 | $23.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.400 | $47.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.530 | $31.8 | May 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.33 | $0.520 | $13.17 | May 22, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.973 | $24.33 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.973 | $24.33 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.973 | $48.65 | May 21, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.985 | $25.62 | May 20, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.984 | $22.63 | May 20, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 49 | $0.986 | $48.31 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.936 | $16.85 | May 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.710 | $36.21 | May 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.944 | $48.14 | May 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.056 | $2.24 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.032 | $0.06 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.954 | $47.7 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.034 | $4.56 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.973 | $47.68 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.047 | $7 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.048 | $8.02 | May 15, 2026 |