Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 128.89 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.137 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.5 | $0.016 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.76 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.006 | $1.22 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?Yes | buy | 51.5 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.67 | $0.044 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 172.02 | $0.030 | $5.16 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No | sell | 1.89K | $0.007 | $13.22 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 10.99 | $0.780 | $8.57 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 70.85 | $0.047 | $3.34 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | sell | 223.26 | $0.015 | $3.35 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 223.26 | $0.070 | $15.63 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.091 | $2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?No | sell | 36 | $0.330 | $11.88 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?No | buy | 36 | $0.430 | $15.48 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 151.12 | $0.860 | $129.96 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 151.12 | $0.900 | $136.01 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 508.19 | $0.910 | $462.45 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 508.19 | $0.839 | $426.23 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 38.88 | $0.250 | $9.72 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.88 | $0.170 | $6.61 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.070 | $0.73 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.120 | $1.25 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 247 | $0.010 | $2.47 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.494 | $2.47 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 3.04 | $0.250 | $0.76 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 44.44 | $0.270 | $12 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Solana above $140 on August 23?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 $ETH dips below $2,000 by Friday?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.998 | $16.56 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Solana above $180 on August 2?No | sell | 46.13 | $0.359 | $16.56 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Solana above $180 on August 2?No | buy | 46.14 | $0.360 | $16.61 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.870 | $1.17 | Jul 26, 2024 |