Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 999.98 | $0.790 | $968.48 | +$178.5 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.630 | $78.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
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| No |
| 630 |
| $0.840 |
| $607.01 |
| +$77.93 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.870 | $384.6 | +$36.6 |
| buy |
| 246.28 |
| $0.620 |
| $152.69 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.39 | $0.560 | $22.62 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 630 | $0.840 | $529.08 | Mar 10, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 139.75 | $0.797 | $111.38 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.019 | $18.73 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.017 | $20.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 235.98 | $0.270 | $63.71 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.820 | $12.05 | Feb 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.01K | Feb 22, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 944.32 | $0.860 | $811.67 | Feb 5, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.810 | $810 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.250 | $200 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.310 | $248 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?Yes | buy | 297.6 | $0.437 | $129.97 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?Yes | sell | 380.12 | $0.247 | $93.95 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?Yes | buy | 380.12 | $0.338 | $128.46 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 451.96 | $0.960 | $433.88 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 679.61 | $0.830 | $564.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?No | buy | 134.91 | $0.920 | $124.12 | Jan 12, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 39.19 | $0.719 | $28.16 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 15 | $0.697 | $10.45 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 171.02 | $0.440 | $75.25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.730 | $292 | Jan 3, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.006 | $12 | Jan 3, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 155.17 | $0.470 | $72.93 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 349.92 | $0.837 | $292.93 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.858 | $102.94 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 299 | $0.850 | $254.09 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 383 | $0.875 | $335.01 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 16.38 | $0.110 | $1.8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 67.87 | $0.126 | $8.58 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 37.87 | $0.490 | $18.56 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 531.68 | $0.880 | $467.88 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 14.63 | $0.560 | $8.19 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 47.44 | $0.230 | $10.91 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 733.4 | $0.340 | $249.36 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | buy | 74.09 | $0.550 | $40.75 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 439.53 | $0.260 | $114.28 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.470 | $792.37 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.300 | $0.6 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | Nov 5, 2025 |
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 264.15 | $0.240 | $63.4 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?Yes | sell | 336.99 | $0.912 | $307.23 | Nov 5, 2025 |