
Resolved Yes on 6 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 6 Feb 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 69.5% on 5 Feb 2026. $694.45K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 6 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Feb 2026 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StupidMonkeyyy | No | 14.85K |
| LAVegas | No | 11.01K |
| LukeDelta | No | 2.5K |
| Fancy-Heir | No | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-meeting-by
| Unconscious-Apprehension | No | 1.58K |
| Cosmic Oracle D5DF | No | 1.42K |
| Silver Meteor 8F22 | No | 1.21K |
| twilly55 | No | 1.06K |
| 0xSuperRekt | No | 727.14 |
| kandinsky | No | 600 |
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