Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Feb 2026.
$43.97K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 26%–38%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.48K |
| Bleak-Anywhere | No | 1K |
| spark321 | No | 295.65 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 164 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
| yant0 | No | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
| AZDEs | No | 96.67 |
| unoreverse1 | No | 96.48 |
| Insidious-Ottoman | No | 61.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the predominante dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg Ties without a distinguishable predominant color,(e.g. https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg) will resolve to "Other". If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-tie-color-at-the-state-of-the-union
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