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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.5 | $0.952 | $0.49 | +$0.01 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.43 |
| $0.938 |
| $0.41 |
| +$0.01 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 0.4 | $0.730 | $0.36 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 64 |
| $0.980 |
| $62.72 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.480 | $52.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.180 | $30.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.180 | $32.76 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 111 | $0.890 | $98.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 111 | $0.900 | $99.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 120 | $0.920 | $110.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 128 | $0.860 | $110.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 128 | $0.860 | $110.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 213 | $0.080 | $17.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 214 | $0.080 | $17.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 145 | $0.760 | $110.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.760 | $110.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 113 | $0.840 | $94.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 137 | $0.740 | $101.38 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 211 | $0.530 | $111.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.530 | $111.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.900 | $111.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.013 | $0.74 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.015 | $3.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 95 | $0.110 | $10.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.938 | $104.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 186 | $0.012 | $2.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.012 | $2.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.842 | $33.85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.035 | $1.37 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.960 | $100.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.050 | $1.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.050 | $17.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 112 | $0.984 | $110.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 112 | $0.984 | $110.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 69 | $0.670 | $46.23 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 164 | $0.690 | $113.16 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 221 | $0.050 | $11.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 221 | $0.070 | $15.47 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 134 | $0.790 | $105.86 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 71.4 | $0.952 | $67.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 259 | $0.046 | $11.91 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 370 | $0.045 | $16.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.420 | $73.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.440 | $123.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 116 | $0.965 | $111.94 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 278 | $0.190 | $52.82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 278 | $0.190 | $52.82 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 139 | $0.808 | $112.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 114 | $0.989 | $112.75 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 234 | $0.530 | $124.02 | May 30, 2026 |