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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.42 | $0.954 | $0.41 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.053 | $3.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 75 |
| $0.067 |
| $5.03 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 77 | $0.954 | $73.46 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 68 | $0.963 | $65.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.038 | $3.42 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.040 | $1.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.038 | $4.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.510 | $81.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.042 | $3.19 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.045 | $5.67 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 94 | $0.520 | $48.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.520 | $48.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.038 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.041 | $4.26 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.027 | $3.38 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 117 | $0.660 | $77.22 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 138 | $0.560 | $77.28 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.560 | $31.92 | May 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.590 | $67.85 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.942 | $78.19 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.068 | $3.26 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.063 | $4.66 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95.36 | $0.560 | $53.4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.283 | $18.96 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.283 | $43.3 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.550 | $77.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.550 | $77.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.044 | $3.61 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.042 | $5.88 | May 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.79 | $0.570 | $19.26 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.200 | $1.8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6 | $0.976 | $5.86 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.969 | $29.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.967 | $29.01 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.934 | $5.6 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.079 | $2.77 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 33 | $0.972 | $32.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.951 | $9.51 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.967 | $4.84 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.966 | $7.73 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.951 | $4.76 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 34 | $0.968 | $32.91 | Aug 19, 2025 |