Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 40.67 | $0.098 | $1.57 | -$2.43 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.024 | $0.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.62 |
| $0.097 |
| $0.63 |
| -$1.37 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.47 | $0.191 | $0.05 | -$1.95 |
| sell |
| 2.27 |
| $0.880 |
| $2 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.012 | $0.17 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.870 | $2.14 | May 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.47 | $0.191 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.097 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.070 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.570 | $2.19 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.650 | $2.09 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.990 | $2.17 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.250 | $0.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.540 | $1.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.340 | $1.48 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.988 | $1.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.917 | $5.76 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.880 | $5.17 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.420 | $1.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.850 | $2.53 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.700 | $2.6 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.091 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.999 | $2.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | sell | 3.49 | $0.969 | $3.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.69 | $0.107 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.469 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |