Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 12h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.38 |
| $0.420 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.530 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
| buy |
| 1.43 |
| $0.700 |
| $1 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 2.71 | $0.950 | $2.57 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 27d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.640 | $1.46 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.502 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.530 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.760 | $1.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 22, 2026 |